Bulletins of freight price will increase from main shippers led analysts to challenge stronger costs this quarter. However new gamers have been reluctant to comply with go well with. Container transport costs had been projected to extend 10 to 20 p.c in Q1 2011. The frenzy to ship out orders earlier than the beginning of the Chinese language New 12 months was anticipated to spice up demand and drive up prices. As well as, lots of the world’s main container shippers raised charges as early as This fall 2009.
Container transport costs, nevertheless, have remained low. The China Containerized Freight Index, which analyzes knowledge from the nation’s 20 main traces, ended 2010 at a low 1,053.93. The CCFI’s composite index began falling in early September, after hitting a 2010-high of 1,214.7 in late August. The index confirmed indicators of enchancment, rising barely within the first two weeks of January 2011 to 1,065.32. It has since slipped, with end-January knowledge pegged at 1,059.95. This got here regardless of increased costs from main container shippers. Maersk raised quotes for container cargo leaving China for Central and South America by $400 per TEU and $800 per dry FEU. Shipments to the Caribbean elevated by $100 per TEU and $200 per FEU. Extra shippers had been anticipated to announce freight price will increase all through the quarter. However lots of the new gamers are hesitant to take action. Demand is just not as excessive as trade projections and these entrants are involved elevating quotes will cut back their utilization charges and enhance working prices. Richard Li Guanghua, researcher on the transport sector of Guojin Securities, mentioned market costs for the European route had been largely steady in January. These for the US had been extra risky. CCFI knowledge for the US’ west coast service, as an illustration, dropped to 998.94 from 1,015.88 factors in mid-January, ending the month at 1,006.17.
Li mentioned the outlook for the entire yr will rely largely on the result of the contract negotiations in April. Till then, solely comfortable projections may very well be made concerning the route of transport costs.